There are also two other potentially important contenders:
Voter turnout is expected to be lower than on December 17 2023 which will benefit the ruling party. The split in the SPN coalition will additionally work against a high turnout thus raising the ruling party´s chances to keep control of Belgrade.
SNS victory in Belgrade and several other big cities across Serbia will probably cause a protracted voter apathy that would in turn result in President Vučić holding power in Serbia undisturbed until the 2027 presidential elections. The victory of the opposition in the capital and some bigger cities such as Niš or Novi Sad, regardless of the unfair conditions, would present a significant boost for the democratic opposition in Serbia.